SARIMA model for the monthly arrival of foreign visitors to the International Airport Jorge Chavez
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18050/revucv-scientia.v3i1.890Keywords:
International Airport, Model SARIMA, Dickey-Fuller test, EviewsAbstract
The present research was conducted to determine a forecasting model for the monthly arrival of foreign visitors to Jorge Chavez International Airport from Peru, based on the time series in the period January 1997-June 2009. The Box-Jenkins methodology and the Eviews program, version 5.0, were used. The forecast period was July-December 2009. The estimated model is a model SARIMA [0,1,1] [(12,36), 0, (12,36,48)], appropriate and with predictive validity, and monthly arrivals for the forecast period were estimated with average absolute deviation of 3972 passengers per month and 3.61% of absolute error rate.
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